Lib Dems out of the race according to Ladbrokes
Betting Firm Ladbrokes has opened a market on the General Election result for Warrington South, it puts the Conservatives as 8/11 favourites to win the seat. Labour are just behind on 6/4, but the real story is that the Lib Dems have been given outsider odds of just 6-1 (UKIP were even further out with odds of 100-1).
David Mowat said:
These odds are a reflection of all the hard work that has been put in by Conservative activists over the last three years and whilst I think the race will be a lot tighter than this come polling day, it shows that we are well placed to win. The main talking point however has to be the long odds on the Liberal Democrats. The Lib Dems in Warrington South talk a good game, but these latest odds show that, just as in every Parliamentary election ever held in Warrington South, the next General Election will be a two horse race between Labour and the Conservatives. Voting Lib Dem in Warrington could let Gordon Brown sneak back into No. 10 Downing Street.
The odds quoted above are taken from the Ladbrokes.com website and were correct as of 15:05 on 08/02/2010. You can view the latest odds at:
http://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/politics/2010-uk-general-election/next-general-election-constituency-betting-e212699719
You must be aged 18 or over to place bets
Liberal Democrat Supporters

The Conservative Group works closely with the LibDem Group on Warrington Borough Council. Since we took the decision to combine our resources and remove Labour from control of the Council much has been achieved. It was our view that a combined administration was the best way to restore effective governance to the town hall. This we have done and will continue to do.
At the General Election which is now likely to be called in May 2010 the situation is different. There is only one party which can beat Labour in Warrington South and that is the Conservatives. A vote for any other party will just allow Labour to retain the seat and Gordon Brown to remain Prime Minister.
This is the wrong result for Warrington.The last general election was fought at a time in which the Liberal Democrats were riding high in the polls. But in Warrington South they were still a poor third (over 7000 behind Labour and 4000 behind the Conservatives). As can be seen from the diagram current opinion polling shows that since that

time LibDem support has slumped. See the most recent opinion polling on the Cambridge University site,
Electoral Calculus. The local election results in May 2008 showed a continued trend away from the LibDems and towards the Conservatives. We won a Borough council seat in Hatton, Stretton and Walton with a swing of 20% from the LibDems. In the recent Penketh Parish Elections (November 2009) we polled approximately the same votes as Labour and the LibDems combined.
A number of former Warrington LibDems have left the party and joined the Conservatives. Most recently the LibDem MEP for Warrington Saj Karim has joined us. In Warrington LibDem's own figures show their membership is down 20% in 2008. In the same period Conservative Party membership in Warrington rose by nearly 50%.
Saj says "
David Cameron has re-positioned the Conservative Party firmly in the centre ground of British politics. We are a compassionate modern and liberal party. Only David Mowat can beat Helen Southworth in a general election. We very much hope that we can count on your support. Voting LibDem in Warrington in a general election could let Labour sneak back in......."
Labour Supporters
Most Labour supporters have a deep conviction that society needs to be fairer and that the less well off need protection from the rougher aspects of the market economy. I share this belief. The difference between us is that I do not believe that a a centralist all powerful state is the best way to achieve this.
My grandfather was a manual worker and yet over the last few decades society has provided me and my family with incredible opportunities. It is a my core belief that I must do my bit to ensure that the social mobility we enjoyed can be shared by others. We must enable as many as possible to be "the best that they can be".
I believe that the modern Conservative Party is best placed to deliver the aspirational with the help they need to progress. We do not believe in top down government and complex means testing which has achieved so little. We deeply believe that government must re-distribute opportunity with at least as much priority as it re-distributes cash. New Labour has failed to do this. We will not.
For more on our Opportunity Agenda.
Read this.